Methods to Compute Prediction Intervals: A Review and New Results

نویسندگان

چکیده

The purpose of this paper is to review both classic and modern methods for constructing prediction intervals. We focus, primarily, on model-based non-Bayesian the a scalar random variable, but we also include Bayesian with objective prior distributions. Our follows two lines: general based (approximate) pivotal quantities predictive connection between these types described distributions in (log-)location-scale family. discuss extending data complicated dependence structures as well some nonparametric (e.g., conformal prediction).

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Statistical Science

سال: 2022

ISSN: ['2168-8745', '0883-4237']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1214/21-sts842